A prediction market turns opinions into prices. Trust it only if you can check its work.
Most venues show you a price and ask you to believe it. We think this category deserves receipts. So we record every order book and every trade in HIP-4, from day zero, and we keep the tape. Data alone is not the point. Truth needs a witness, and the witness must be in the room.
What we publish
A public accuracy rating for every wallet — not only our users. The trade tape names a buyer and a seller on every fill. A position held to resolution is a forecast, and a forecast can be graded. The methodology is open, and each constant comes from the code. Any wallet can pull the receipt behind its number and recompute it.
A ledger behind every payout. We compute maker rewards from the public tape and publish them each period. Each payment matches an on-chain transfer, cent for cent. When something breaks, it goes in the incident log in plain language.
Our own error, in basis points. Each night, the execution model prints its estimated cost against the realized cost. We grade ourselves with the same pen.
What we refuse to do
We do not round numbers in our favor. Our product is truth, and one shaded number destroys it. We do not promise returns. Liquidity rewards are rewards, not yield. We do not color losses red, and we do not dress dashboards for effect. We do not ask for trust. Every claim ships with a way to check it.
Live prices on what happens next — with the receipts to prove it.